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Ghana’s Mining Overhaul Risks Investor Flight: Scrapping Stability Pacts and Doubling Royalties Could Deter FDI

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Ghana, Africa’s leading gold producer, is set to overhaul its mining sector by cancelling long-term stability agreements and doubling royalties, a move aimed at capturing more value from surging global gold prices.

While the reforms promise increased government revenue and greater local benefits, experts warn of potential long-term risks to investment and economic growth.

The announcement, revealed by Acting Minerals Commission CEO Isaac Tandoh in a Reuters exclusive, signals a fundamental shift in Ghana’s approach to resource management. Under the proposed draft bill expected in Parliament by March 2026, royalties will rise from the current 3-5% band to a sliding scale starting at 9% and reaching 12% when gold prices exceed $4,500 per ounce. This comes as gold trades near record highs of around $4,590 per ounce.

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Stability and development agreements, which lock in tax and royalty terms for 5-15 years in exchange for major investments ($300-500 million), will be phased out. Newmont’s agreement, expired in December 2025, will not be renewed, while those of AngloGold Ashanti and Gold Fields will end in 2027. The changes also include stricter local-content requirements for procurement and support for Ghanaian firms.

Tandoh dismissed investor deterrence concerns, noting that miners operate profitably under harsher conditions elsewhere. However, the reforms echo similar policies in other African nations, offering lessons on long-term impacts.

Potential Long-Term Economic Benefits

With gold prices elevated, higher royalties could generate billions in additional revenue for Ghana’s treasury, supporting fiscal stability, infrastructure development, and social programs. A Business Insider Africa report notes this aligns with a continental trend where nations like Tanzania (2017 reforms) saw short-term revenue boosts, enabling debt reduction and public investment. For Ghana, enhanced local-content rules could foster domestic industry growth, creating jobs and reducing reliance on imports, potentially strengthening economic sovereignty over time.

Risks to Investment and Growth

Critics argue the changes may deter foreign direct investment (FDI), crucial for mining exploration and expansion. Tanzania’s similar 2017 hikes led to legal disputes with companies like Acacia Mining (now Barrick Gold), resulting in slowed sector growth and a temporary FDI drop, per World Bank analyses. In Ghana, where mining accounts for over 10% of GDP and employs thousands, abrupt pact cancellations could trigger arbitration claims under international treaties, straining government resources and investor confidence.

A Africa Briefing analysis warns that without policy consistency, exploration may decline, limiting future output as reserves deplete. Environmentally, while stricter oversight could reduce illegal mining (galamsey) impacts, reduced FDI might slow adoption of sustainable technologies. Socially, job losses in mining-dependent regions could exacerbate unemployment, particularly among youth.

Overall, the long-term outcome hinges on implementation: balanced reforms could position Ghana as a model for resource nationalism, but overly aggressive changes risk economic isolation, as seen in Zambia’s 2019 royalty hikes that prompted mine closures and revenue shortfalls.

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Ghana’s Mega Infrastructure Push: 10 Game-Changing Projects Set to Transform the Country in 2026

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Accra, Ghana – March 3, 2026 – Ghana is in the midst of one of the most ambitious infrastructure drives in its history, with ten massive projects—ranging from railways and highways to solar parks, gas processing plants, and a landmark petroleum hub—poised to reshape transportation, energy, trade, and economic opportunity across the country and West Africa.

A recent viral video breakdown highlights these “megaprojects” as the backbone of Ghana’s development agenda under President John Dramani Mahama’s administration, emphasizing their role in modernizing mobility, boosting industrial output, ensuring energy security, and positioning Ghana as a regional economic powerhouse.

Top 10 Megaprojects Driving Ghana Forward

1 Big Push Roads Network
The flagship of Ghana’s GH¢30.8 billion infrastructure plan, this nationwide programme includes over 32 major road projects—dual carriageways, bridges, and interchanges—along critical corridors such as Accra–Kumasi, Tema–Aflao, and Cape Coast–Takoradi. Sod-cutting ceremonies began in 2025, with rapid progress expected in 2026. The network aims to slash congestion, cut transport times, lower logistics costs, and unlock trade, agriculture, and manufacturing growth.

2 Ghana Petroleum Hub
A $60 billion mega-development in the Jomoro Municipality near the western border, the hub integrates exploration, refining, storage, and export facilities. Groundwork accelerates in 2026, promising thousands of jobs, foreign investment, and a shift from net importer to regional energy leader.

3 Big Push Road Interchanges
Eight major interchanges along the Accra–Kumasi corridor target chronic urban congestion, supporting the 24-Hour Economy by improving traffic flow, reducing delays, and boosting productivity for commuters and businesses.

4 Trans-ECOWAS Railway
A proposed 530 km standard-gauge corridor linking Ghana’s eastern and western borders to Togo and Côte d’Ivoire. Feasibility studies continue, with potential construction start in 2026, aiming to revolutionize regional trade and connectivity.

5 Dawa Solar Park Phase 1
Ground broken in November 2025, this 100 MW solar facility in the Dawa Industrial Enclave near Accra is set for completion by December 2026. Phase 2 will double capacity to 200 MW, offering industrial users a 10% energy discount and significantly cutting carbon emissions.

6 OCTP Gas Processing Upgrade
Offshore Cape Three Points (OCTP) facility expanded to 270 million standard cubic feet per day in 2025, supplying ~70% of Ghana’s domestic gas and ~34% of electricity. The upgrade strengthens energy security and reduces reliance on imported fuels.

7 Amer Power Plant Relocation
Relocation of the Amer plant from Aboadze to Anwomaso in the Ashanti Region (ongoing since 2024) optimizes distribution, reduces transmission losses, and improves reliability for northern regions.

8 Bui Hydro-Solar Hybrid Phases 2 & 3
Adding 150 MW of solar to the existing Bui hydroelectric plant in the Bono Region, this hybrid expansion enhances renewable output, preserves water resources, and provides stable power even during low-rainfall periods.

9 Wiawso–Sankore Road
A 195 km highway across Bono East, Savannah, and Upper West regions, divided into seven lots for faster construction. Part of the Big Push initiative, it will accelerate agri-freight, connect regional capitals, and open rural markets.

10 Kojokrom–Manso Railway
A standard-gauge mineral freight line in the Western Region, 16% complete by 2023 and targeted for full operation by May 2026. Designed to move bulk cargo (gold, bauxite, manganese) efficiently to ports, reducing road congestion and transport costs.

These projects collectively aim to modernize Ghana’s transport backbone, secure reliable energy, integrate renewables, boost agricultural and industrial value chains, and position the country as a West African trade and logistics hub. Many are already under construction or in advanced planning, with 2026 marking a pivotal year of acceleration.

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Ghanaians Warned to Brace for Possible Fuel Price Hikes Amid Escalating Middle East Conflict

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Accra, Ghana – March 3, 2026 – Ghanaian motorists and households have been cautioned to prepare for potential increases in petroleum product prices as the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict continues to destabilise global energy markets, according to industry leaders.

Dr. Riverson Oppong, Chief Executive Officer of the Chamber of Oil Marketing Companies (COMAC), told the Business & Financial Times (B&FT) that while Ghana currently faces no immediate risk of fuel shortages, prolonged geopolitical instability in the Middle East will inevitably drive up costs for consumers.

“The impact on Ghana will obviously be reflected in rising prices. There will certainly be a surge,” Dr. Oppong said.

He explained that Ghana remains a net importer of refined petroleum products, sourcing more than 60% of its domestic needs externally despite local production from the Jubilee and TEN fields and partial refining at the Tema Oil Refinery (TOR).

The warning follows the opening of the first pricing window for March (March 1–15, 2026), which already recorded marginal increases: petrol projected to rise 2.89% to approximately GH¢12.04 per litre, diesel up 0.86% to GH¢13.22 per litre, while LPG is forecast to dip slightly to GH¢13.87 per kg. The National Petroleum Authority (NPA) confirmed the price floor adjustments, with petrol now at a minimum of GH¢10.46 per litre (up from GH¢10.24) and diesel at GH¢11.42 per litre.

Dr. Oppong and other experts attribute the upward pressure to Brent crude’s surge past US$80 per barrel in early March trading—spiking more than 10%—driven by fears of supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, through which about 20% of global crude flows. Recent attacks by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps on oil tankers in the Gulf, combined with the shutdown of a major refinery in Qatar (capacity 550,000 barrels/day) and damage to infrastructure in the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait, have tightened supply expectations.

Justice Ohene-Akoto, CEO of the African Sustainable Energy Centre, warned that four additional price hikes could occur in the coming weeks if tensions persist. He noted that even regional refineries like Dangote in Nigeria are unlikely to offer discounted prices to neighbours, meaning premium global rates would still apply.

Both leaders pointed to Ghana’s limited refining and storage capacity as a structural vulnerability. Dr. Oppong lamented that a fully operational large-scale refinery could transform Ghana into a net exporter, earning foreign exchange and ensuring availability. He urged the government to consider temporary relief measures, such as suspending or reducing the Price Stabilisation and Recovery Levy (PSRL), to cushion consumers from the expected cost surge.

The National Petroleum Authority has reassured the public that operational buffers—regular imports, daily discharges, TOR output, and Atuabo LPG production—will prevent shortages, but affordability remains the critical challenge. With Brent crude potentially climbing toward US$90 if the Strait of Hormuz faces further threats, Ghana’s import-dependent fuel market remains highly exposed.

Industry stakeholders and consumers alike are watching global developments closely, as any prolonged disruption could quickly reverse recent gains in inflation control and cedi stability.

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OPEC+ Boosts Oil Output as Markets Reel from US-Israel Strikes That Killed Iran’s Khamenei

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London / Accra – March 1, 2026 – OPEC+ has agreed to increase oil production by 206,000 barrels per day starting in April, a modest move aimed at calming volatile global oil markets following the dramatic escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict, including joint US-Israeli air strikes that killed Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and triggered widespread retaliatory missile barrages across the Gulf.

In its latest dispatch, the Financial Times reports that the decision—slightly above market expectations but far below levels needed to offset potential supply disruptions—was made amid fears that Iran’s threats to close the Strait of Hormuz could choke off 20% of the world’s seaborne oil trade.

With Khamenei confirmed dead by Iranian state television, the power vacuum in Tehran has intensified uncertainty, with no successor yet named and President Masoud Pezeshkian vowing “vengeance and revenge.”

The strikes and counter-strikes have already caused significant disruptions: shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has slowed to a near standstill as insurers warned of policy cancellations and premium surges; a Saudi Aramco-chartered tanker (MKD Vyom) suffered an explosion and flooding off Iran’s coast; and another vessel (Skylight) was hit, injuring four crew.

Major Japanese shipping lines halted Gulf passages, while CMA CGM suspended Suez Canal transits, diverting vessels around Africa’s Cape of Good Hope—adding weeks and millions in costs to global trade routes.

Oil prices have spiked amid the chaos, with analysts warning that even OPEC+’s additional barrels “serve little purpose if there are no serviceable sea lanes,” as noted by Helima Croft of RBC Capital Markets and Jorge Leon of Rystad Energy. Middle East stock markets plunged—Saudi Arabia’s TASI fell nearly 5% before partial recovery, Egypt’s EGX 30 dropped nearly 6%—while European gas contracts are expected to rise 25%+ due to LNG supply risks from Qatar and the UAE.

The conflict has extended beyond Iran and Israel: US bases in Iraq and the Gulf were targeted; ports in Dubai and Oman sustained damage; Bahrain’s navy base and airport were hit; and GPS jamming affected over 1,100 vessels, raising sanctions compliance concerns for banks and insurers.

For emerging markets like those in Africa—including Ghana—the fallout could be severe.

Higher oil and LNG prices would inflate import bills, push up fuel and electricity costs, fuel inflation, and pressure currencies already strained by global volatility. Shipping diversions via the Cape of Good Hope could raise freight rates for African exports and imports, while broader energy market instability risks derailing post-pandemic recovery in oil-importing nations.

OPEC+’s output increase is seen as symbolic rather than substantive in the face of geopolitical risk. As one Barclays strategist put it, investors may be “underpricing a scenario where containment fails.”

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