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Ghana’s Lithium Find: Think tank IMANI Raises Red Flags as Parliament Weighs Ewoyaa Mining Deal

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As Ghana positions itself to enter the global lithium supply chain, a fresh policy debate has emerged over whether the country is negotiating the strongest possible fiscal terms for one of its most strategically important mineral projects.

Franklin Cudjoe, founding president of policy think tank IMANI Africa, has questioned key assumptions underpinning the government’s proposed royalty framework for lithium, warning that inaccurate pricing data could undermine Ghana’s long-term national interest.

In a detailed commentary, Cudjoe clarified that under the proposed sliding royalty regime for lithium, the starting royalty rate remains 5 percent, not 7 percent as previously suggested in public discourse.

Crucially, he noted that the 5 percent rate would apply until lithium prices exceed $1,500 per tonne, despite current global prices hovering around $1,200 per ton.

“At today’s prices, with production costs estimated at $610 per tonne, the investor enjoys a profit margin of nearly 45 percent,” Cudjoe argued.

He contrasted this with conditions in 2024, when the same investor was prepared to sign an agreement with a 10 percent royalty rate while earning less than a 20 percent margin, based on an average price of $800 per tonne.

Cudjoe also challenged figures cited by the Minister of Lands and Natural Resources, saying claims that a 5 percent starting royalty was based on lithium prices of $3,000 per tonne in 2024 were “inaccurate.”

He urged government decision-makers to ensure that negotiations are anchored in verifiable market data rather than projections that could weaken Ghana’s bargaining position.

His comments come as Parliament considers a revised Mining Lease for the Ewoyaa Lithium Project in Ghana’s Central Region, led by Atlantic Lithium Limited. The lease has been referred to Parliament’s Select Committee, marking a critical step toward ratification and the possible development of Ghana’s first lithium mine.

Lithium’s role as a core input for electric vehicle batteries and renewable energy storage has elevated Ewoyaa’s importance beyond traditional mining considerations. Policymakers increasingly see the project as a pathway for Ghana to diversify away from gold and align itself with the fast-growing global clean energy economy.

To support this transition, the Ministry of Lands and Natural Resources has submitted the Minerals and Mining (Royalty) Regulations, 2025, which introduce a sliding royalty scale linked to global spodumene prices.

According to Graphic Business, the framework proposes royalties ranging from 5 percent for prices up to $1,500 per ton to 12 percent when prices exceed $3,000 per tonne, while keeping other fiscal terms from the original 2023 lease unchanged.

Government officials say the approach balances national revenue interests with the need to maintain Ghana’s competitiveness as an investment destination. Atlantic Lithium, for its part, has expressed optimism that parliamentary ratification would unlock development, attract foreign direct investment, and stimulate local economic activity.

Still, analysts say the debate highlights a broader challenge facing resource-rich countries: how to secure fair value from critical minerals at a time of accelerating global demand, without discouraging investment.

Cudjoe pointed to President John Dramani Mahama’s public engagement on lithium policy as a signal of the issue’s national importance, urging the minister to ensure that all decisions are transparent, consultative, and data-driven, in line with presidential direction.

As Parliament prepares to review the lease after its festive recess, the outcome is likely to shape not only the Ewoyaa project but Ghana’s broader reputation in the global critical minerals race.

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U.S. Offers Tax Refunds to 32 African Exporters Under New AGOA Framework

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U.S. President Donald Trump has signed a one-year extension of the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), providing immediate duty-free access and retroactive tax refunds to qualifying exporters in 32 sub-Saharan African countries — but only through December 31, 2026.

The short-term reauthorization, enacted in early February 2026, ends the uncertainty that followed the original September 30, 2025, expiration.

African businesses that paid extra duties since October 2025 can now claim full refunds, delivering quick cash-flow relief to garment makers, horticulture exporters, and other AGOA beneficiaries.

However, the 11-month window — far shorter than previous multi-year renewals — has raised concerns across the continent.

The U.S. has explicitly tied the brief extension to expectations of “reciprocal market access,” signaling that future eligibility could hinge on African governments opening their markets more fully to American goods and services.

Key implications for Ghana and other AGOA-eligible nations include:

  • Immediate duty-free treatment for over 1,800 product lines (textiles, apparel, agricultural goods, handicrafts, etc.) retroactive to October 2025
  • A clear 2026 deadline for negotiations on a longer-term or replacement agreement
  • Heightened U.S. scrutiny of trade barriers, intellectual property protections, and investment rules
  • Continued exclusion of certain countries (e.g., those failing eligibility criteria such as human rights or rule-of-law benchmarks)

Trade analysts describe the move as a deliberate shift toward conditional, shorter-duration trade preferences — a departure from the bipartisan, decade-long renewals that characterized AGOA since its launch in 2000. The one-year horizon gives Washington leverage to push for concessions while giving African exporters a temporary lifeline.

For Ghana — one of AGOA’s most consistent users — the extension secures continued duty-free access for apparel, shea butter products, cashews, and other exports to the U.S. market. Yet exporters and policymakers now face a compressed timeline to prepare for potentially tougher talks in 2026.

The African Union, ECOWAS, and individual governments have welcomed the refund mechanism but expressed concern over the uncertainty.

Many are already calling for a permanent, rules-based successor framework that better aligns with AfCFTA goals and Africa’s industrialisation ambitions.

As the clock ticks toward the end of 2026, the coming months will test whether AGOA’s legacy can evolve into a more balanced, reciprocal partnership — or whether both sides will need to chart an entirely new course for U.S.-Africa trade relations.

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Silent Turf War Intensifies: U.S. Extends AGOA, China Responds with Zero-Tariff Access to 53 African Nations

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In a quiet but unmistakable escalation of economic influence across Africa, China has agreed to provide zero-tariff access to its massive market for 53 African countries.

The move comes just weeks after the United States extended the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) for another decade.

The announcement, reported by Business Insider Africa on February 13, 2026, follows years of diplomatic and commercial positioning by both superpowers. Beijing’s move effectively removes tariffs on a broad range of African exports — including agricultural products, minerals, textiles, and light manufactures — giving African producers significantly improved access to the world’s second-largest consumer market.

The decision comes after sustained lobbying by African governments and the African Union, as well as China’s own strategic interest in securing long-term raw material supplies, diversifying trade partners away from Western markets, and deepening political goodwill across the continent.

While no official Chinese government statement has yet detailed the exact product coverage or implementation timeline, analysts interpret the agreement as a direct counterweight to AGOA’s renewal (signed into law by President Biden in late 2025 and extended through 2035).

AGOA provides duty-free access to the U.S. market for over 1,800 products from eligible sub-Saharan African countries, but is conditional on meeting governance, human rights, and market-access criteria — conditions that have led to periodic exclusions (most recently Eswatini in 2024).

China’s zero-tariff offer appears unconditional and broader in scope, covering nearly the entire continent (excluding only a handful of nations without diplomatic relations with Beijing). The timing is widely seen in diplomatic circles as a deliberate signal: Beijing is positioning itself as the more reliable, less conditional partner for African trade and development finance.

For Ghana and other resource-rich West African nations, the dual developments create both opportunity and strategic complexity. Zero-tariff access to China could accelerate exports of cocoa, shea butter, cashew nuts, bauxite, manganese, and emerging value-added products. At the same time, AGOA remains vital for apparel, automotive components, and light manufactures destined for the U.S. market.

Trade experts caution that realizing the full benefits will require African governments to address supply-side constraints: logistics bottlenecks, quality certification, meeting sanitary/phytosanitary standards, and scaling up industrial processing capacity.

Neither Washington nor Beijing has publicly spoken about the moves as competitive, but analysts and diplomats widely view them as part of a long-term, largely silent contest for economic primacy and political influence in Africa — a resource-rich continent whose population is projected to reach 2.5 billion by 2050.

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Fearless Fund Expands to Africa, Launches Microfinance Fund in Ghana to Empower Women Entrepreneurs

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Fearless Fund, the U.S.-based venture capital firm dedicated to investing in women of color, has officially expanded into Africa with the launch of a dedicated microfinance fund in Ghana.

The announcement, made on February 6, 2026, marks the organisation’s first major step onto the continent and aims to provide accessible capital, mentorship, and business support to women-led micro and small enterprises.

The Ghana Microfinance Fund will offer low-interest loans, grants, and non-financial support (including financial literacy training, digital skills workshops, and market access connections) to women entrepreneurs in underserved communities. Initial focus areas include agriculture, retail, fashion, beauty, food processing, and digital services — sectors where women dominate but often lack formal financing.

Fearless Fund CEO Arian Simone stated: “Ghana is a gateway for our African expansion. We see incredible potential in Ghanaian women who are building businesses against significant odds. This fund is designed to remove financial barriers and help them scale sustainably.”

The initiative partners with local microfinance institutions, women’s cooperatives, and Ghanaian fintech players to ensure wide reach, particularly in rural and peri-urban areas.

It also aligns with Ghana’s national agenda to promote financial inclusion, youth and women entrepreneurship, and economic empowerment under the “Reset Ghana” framework.

The launch comes amid growing recognition of the financing gap for women entrepreneurs in Africa, where women own over 40% of micro and small businesses but receive less than 10% of formal credit. Fearless Fund plans to scale the model across other African markets in the coming years.

The fund’s Ghana rollout is expected to disburse its first round of capital in Q2 2026, with applications opening soon through partner institutions.

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