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Ghana on Track for Stronger Economic Growth and IMF Exit in 2026 Amid Fiscal Reforms

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Ghana is poised for a robust economic rebound in 2026, with experts forecasting GDP growth of 4-5.6% and a potential exit from the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Extended Credit Facility by mid-year.

The development marks a major milestone in the nation’s post-crisis recovery under President John Dramani Mahama.

Recent data from the Ghana Statistical Service and IMF reports indicate a sharp decline in inflation to 5.4% year-on-year by the end of 2025, alongside a stabilized cedi currency, bolstered by prudent monetary policies and increased foreign reserves.

The Mahama administration’s aggressive debt restructuring, including the clearance of $1.47 billion in energy arrears, has been instrumental in restoring fiscal health and investor confidence.

President Mahama, in a recent address, described the impending IMF exit as “the last bailout,” stressing a shift toward sovereign economic management. Key initiatives include the implementation of a 24-hour economy model, aimed at creating millions of jobs for the unemployed and underemployed youth, and targeted investments in agriculture, manufacturing, and technology.

The government has set ambitious targets to reduce unemployment from current levels of around 14% through vocational training and infrastructure projects.

International analysts, including those from the World Bank and African Development Bank, commend Ghana’s trajectory as a blueprint for other African economies grappling with debt burdens.

“Ghana’s disciplined approach to reforms has yielded tangible results, positioning it for sustainable growth,” noted an IMF spokesperson.

Sectors like cocoa production and non-oil exports are expected to drive expansion, with Nigerian investments injecting $103 million in 2025, further fueling trade and job creation.

Challenges remain, including vulnerabilities to global commodity price fluctuations and domestic issues like illegal mining’s environmental toll.

Opposition figures from the NPP have urged caution, warning against over-optimism amid lingering public debt at 88% of GDP.

Nonetheless, with policies focused on inclusivity and innovation, Ghana’s 2026 outlook promises enhanced prosperity, drawing global interest as a stable investment destination in West Africa.

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Microsoft Study Flags These 40 Jobs as Most at Risk by AI

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In a new research report that is stirring debate across industries, Microsoft has identified 40 occupations with the highest exposure to disruption by generative artificial intelligence (AI).

The study, “Working with AI: Measuring the Occupational Implications of Generative AI,” analyzed more than 200,000 anonymized interactions with Microsoft’s Copilot tools to determine how closely AI capabilities overlap with day‑to‑day job tasks.

Roles that center on writing, communication, data processing, and routine cognitive tasks were among those with the highest AI applicability scores, suggesting that many of their core activities can already be performed — or heavily assisted — by current AI systems.

Among the occupations flagged as most exposed are interpreters and translators, sales representatives, writers and authors, customer service representatives, and news analysts, reporters and journalists. Other roles on the list include editors, technical writers, proofreaders, data scientists, and even post‑secondary business and economics teachers.

Experts emphasize that a high AI applicability score does not necessarily mean immediate job losses. Rather, it reflects how many tasks within a role align with functions AI systems like large language models already perform well, including drafting text, summarising information, and handling structured communication tasks.

Microsoft’s researchers note that the study does not imply AI can fully perform any one occupation autonomously, and that job transformation — not simply elimination — is the more likely outcome in many cases.

The report has reignited debate about which careers are most vulnerable in the age of AI. Teachers, translators, writers, sales professionals and journalists have expressed unease over the findings, particularly as organisations increasingly integrate AI tools into everyday workflows.

Critics argue that metrics based on AI usage or automation potential may undervalue the nuance, judgement and human context required in these professions — especially in education and journalism, where subjective interpretation and ethical decision‑making remain essential.

At the same time, the study highlights that many roles involving physical labor or direct human interaction are currently less exposed to AI disruption.

Occupations such as nursing assistants, manual equipment operators, and technicians requiring hands‑on skills show much lower AI applicability scores, underlining the continued importance of human presence in certain fields.

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Ghana’s Mining Overhaul Risks Investor Flight: Scrapping Stability Pacts and Doubling Royalties Could Deter FDI

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Ghana, Africa’s leading gold producer, is set to overhaul its mining sector by cancelling long-term stability agreements and doubling royalties, a move aimed at capturing more value from surging global gold prices.

While the reforms promise increased government revenue and greater local benefits, experts warn of potential long-term risks to investment and economic growth.

The announcement, revealed by Acting Minerals Commission CEO Isaac Tandoh in a Reuters exclusive, signals a fundamental shift in Ghana’s approach to resource management. Under the proposed draft bill expected in Parliament by March 2026, royalties will rise from the current 3-5% band to a sliding scale starting at 9% and reaching 12% when gold prices exceed $4,500 per ounce. This comes as gold trades near record highs of around $4,590 per ounce.

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Stability and development agreements, which lock in tax and royalty terms for 5-15 years in exchange for major investments ($300-500 million), will be phased out. Newmont’s agreement, expired in December 2025, will not be renewed, while those of AngloGold Ashanti and Gold Fields will end in 2027. The changes also include stricter local-content requirements for procurement and support for Ghanaian firms.

Tandoh dismissed investor deterrence concerns, noting that miners operate profitably under harsher conditions elsewhere. However, the reforms echo similar policies in other African nations, offering lessons on long-term impacts.

Potential Long-Term Economic Benefits

With gold prices elevated, higher royalties could generate billions in additional revenue for Ghana’s treasury, supporting fiscal stability, infrastructure development, and social programs. A Business Insider Africa report notes this aligns with a continental trend where nations like Tanzania (2017 reforms) saw short-term revenue boosts, enabling debt reduction and public investment. For Ghana, enhanced local-content rules could foster domestic industry growth, creating jobs and reducing reliance on imports, potentially strengthening economic sovereignty over time.

Risks to Investment and Growth

Critics argue the changes may deter foreign direct investment (FDI), crucial for mining exploration and expansion. Tanzania’s similar 2017 hikes led to legal disputes with companies like Acacia Mining (now Barrick Gold), resulting in slowed sector growth and a temporary FDI drop, per World Bank analyses. In Ghana, where mining accounts for over 10% of GDP and employs thousands, abrupt pact cancellations could trigger arbitration claims under international treaties, straining government resources and investor confidence.

A Africa Briefing analysis warns that without policy consistency, exploration may decline, limiting future output as reserves deplete. Environmentally, while stricter oversight could reduce illegal mining (galamsey) impacts, reduced FDI might slow adoption of sustainable technologies. Socially, job losses in mining-dependent regions could exacerbate unemployment, particularly among youth.

Overall, the long-term outcome hinges on implementation: balanced reforms could position Ghana as a model for resource nationalism, but overly aggressive changes risk economic isolation, as seen in Zambia’s 2019 royalty hikes that prompted mine closures and revenue shortfalls.

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Why Smart Americans Are Quietly Moving Their Money to Ghana: 2026 Wealth Playbook Revealed

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In an eye-opening episode of The Table with Anthony O’Neal, nationally bestselling author, speaker, and financial expert Anthony O’Neal sits down with Jay from The Adinkra Group to unpack the real opportunities for building generational wealth in Ghana — and why so many in the diaspora are quietly shifting investments to the “motherland” in 2026.

Titled “Why Smart Americans Are Quietly Moving Their Money to Ghana (2026 Playbook),” the January 14, 2026, YouTube episode has quickly gained traction among the global African diaspora, returnees, and expats seeking financial diversification beyond traditional Western markets.

O’Neal, known for helping millions eliminate debt and build wealth, shares how his own perspective shifted dramatically after visiting Ghana — moving from misinformation to active investment in real estate, education, and community development.

“We were sold a narrative of poverty to keep us from the reality of profit,” O’Neal says in the interview, recounting his shock at seeing luxury homes, swimming pools, and thriving businesses upon first arriving in Ghana. “While we were afraid to visit, the rest of the world was already there building their fortune.”

Jay, a seasoned diaspora connector who has led thousands on trips to Africa, explains how Ghana’s real estate market offers significant appreciation potential. He shares concrete examples:

-Luxury condos purchased pre-construction for $140,000–$150,000 are now selling for $250,000–$260,000 before completion.

-Properties in prime Accra locations are appreciating rapidly, with Airbnb potential during high seasons like “Daddy December” generating thousands in revenue.

-Payment plans and debt-free options make entry accessible compared to U.S. mortgage systems.

The conversation addresses common myths — from safety concerns to outdated stereotypes — and contrasts living in Ghana with major U.S. cities like Washington, D.C. “Is it safe in Africa? And I’m saying to myself, is it safe in D.C.?” O’Neal reflects, highlighting the peace and community he’s found in Ghana compared to anxieties in the U.S.

Both emphasize that opportunity is not just financial — it’s deeply personal and generational. O’Neal reveals plans to establish a Christian-based financial literacy school in Ghana, delivered via a converted bus to reach students across Accra and Kumasi, equipping young Ghanaians with global money skills while building bridges between diaspora and local talent.

“We need partnership, not charity,” Jay echoes a lesson from Ghanaian leaders. “We can help them, they can help us. We can work together.”

The episode promotes upcoming group trips to Ghana in November and December 2026, organized in partnership with The Adinkra Group, offering education, investment tours, cultural immersion, and networking. With limited seats remaining, O’Neal stresses the urgency: “The power of now.”

For the diaspora — whether in the U.S., UK, Canada, or Europe — this conversation serves as both inspiration and roadmap: Ghana is not just a place to visit, but a strategic destination for wealth-building, legacy creation, and cultural reconnection.

Watch the full episode here: Why Smart Americans Are Quietly Moving Their Money to Ghana (2026 Playbook)

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