Global Update
Trump Escalates Trade Tensions: Threatens Canada with 100% Tariffs Amid China Deal
US President Donald Trump has issued a stark warning to Canada, threatening to impose 100% tariffs on all Canadian imports if the country proceeds with a new economic cooperation agreement with China.
This move underscores ongoing geopolitical frictions between the world’s largest economies, with implications for global supply chains and commodity markets that could ripple into Africa, including Ghana’s export-dependent economy.
The threat comes against a backdrop of longstanding US-China trade wars, which began intensifying during Trump’s first term in office from 2017 to 2021. Back then, the US levied tariffs on hundreds of billions of dollars worth of Chinese goods, citing unfair trade practices, intellectual property theft, and national security concerns.
China retaliated in kind, affecting agricultural exports from North America and elsewhere. Now, in his second non-consecutive term, Trump appears to be reviving this aggressive stance, viewing Canada’s overtures to Beijing as a direct circumvention of US interests.
Trump’s statement, posted on his Truth Social platform on January 24, 2026, specifically targeted Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, whom he derisively referred to as “Governor Carney.” This terminology harks back to Trump’s provocative 2018 suggestion that Canada should become the 51st US state, a comment that strained bilateral relations and highlighted his administration’s America First policy.
“If Governor Carney thinks he is going to make Canada a ‘Drop Off Port’ for China to send goods and products into the United States, he is sorely mistaken,” Trump wrote, implying that the deal could allow Chinese products to enter the US market tariff-free via Canada.
The catalyst for this outburst was Carney’s recent visit to Beijing, where Canada and China announced steps to enhance trade ties. Ottawa agreed to lift some tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, a sector where China dominates global production amid the push for green energy transitions. In exchange, Beijing committed to easing barriers on Canadian agricultural products, such as rapeseed (canola), which is vital to Canada’s farming industry.
This agreement aims to mend relations frayed by previous disputes, including the 2018 arrest of a Huawei executive in Vancouver at the US’s request, which led to retaliatory detentions of Canadian citizens in China.
For Ghana, a nation heavily reliant on commodity exports like cocoa and gold, such trade volatility could have indirect effects. Disruptions in North American markets might influence global prices for agricultural goods, potentially benefiting or harming African producers. Moreover, as Ghana seeks to diversify its trade partnerships under the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), observing these dynamics could inform strategies to navigate great-power rivalries.
Analysts warn that a 100% tariff on Canadian goods—ranging from automobiles to timber—could devastate the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), the successor to NAFTA renegotiated under Trump in 2020. It might also accelerate de-globalization trends, pushing countries toward regional blocs. As the world watches, Canada’s response could either defuse or ignite a broader trade conflict, with economic repercussions felt far beyond North America.
Global Update
How Ghana Appears in Newly Unsealed Jeffrey Epstein Court Documents
Newly unsealed court documents from the Jeffrey Epstein civil case, made public in early February 2026, contain several references to Ghana.
The mentions, however, do not accuse any Ghanaian citizens or officials of wrongdoing or direct involvement in Epstein’s criminal activities. They appear in depositions, flight logs, and witness statements related to Epstein’s international travel and business dealings in the early 2000s.
According to summaries published by GhanaWeb on February 13, 2026, the references primarily involve:
- Epstein’s brief business and travel connections to West Africa during that period
- A former high-profile associate of Epstein who had commercial interests or meetings linked to Ghana
- Passing mentions of Ghana in the context of broader African financial or investment discussions Epstein pursued
None of the documents implicate current or former Ghanaian government officials, business leaders, or private citizens in any criminal conduct. The references are largely contextual and do not form part of the core allegations against Epstein or his co-conspirators.
Ghanaian authorities have not issued an official comment on the disclosures. Legal and diplomatic experts note that the mentions appear incidental and do not trigger any immediate investigative action under Ghanaian law.
The files are part of the long-running civil defamation lawsuit brought by Virginia Giuffre against Ghislaine Maxwell, with thousands of pages unsealed in stages since 2024.
The Epstein case continues to generate global headlines, with new batches of documents periodically revealing names, travel records, and financial connections. While the Ghana references have sparked online discussion in the country, analysts caution against over-interpretation, as the documents do not suggest any Ghanaian participation in Epstein’s sex-trafficking network.
The latest unsealing adds to the ongoing public fascination and scrutiny surrounding Epstein’s elite network, even years after his 2019 death in custody.
Global Update
King Charles to Host Nigerian President Bola Tinubu for State Visit in March 2026 – First in 37 Years
Buckingham Palace has announced that King Charles III and Queen Camilla will welcome President Bola Ahmed Tinubu of Nigeria and First Lady Oluremi Tinubu for a two-day state visit to the United Kingdom from March 18 to March 19, 2026.
The visit, centered at Windsor Castle, marks the first official state visit by a Nigerian president to the UK in 37 years—the last being in 1989 under military leader Gen. Ibrahim Babangida.
The announcement, made on February 7, 2026, follows the high-profile private trip by Prince Harry and Meghan Markle to Nigeria in May 2024, where the couple participated in Invictus Games events, mental health initiatives, and cultural engagements. While Palace officials have not drawn a direct connection, the timing adds symbolic resonance to the strengthening of UK-Nigeria ties amid ongoing Commonwealth cooperation and bilateral diplomacy.
The state visit will include traditional ceremonial elements—such as a formal welcome, bilateral meetings with King Charles, a state banquet, and engagements highlighting shared priorities in trade, security, education, climate action, and cultural exchange. President Tinubu previously met King Charles at Buckingham Palace in September 2024 and during the COP28 summit in Dubai in 2023.
The visit reflects the UK’s renewed emphasis on deepening partnerships with African nations under the Labour government, with Nigeria—Africa’s largest economy and a key Commonwealth member—playing a central role. It also underscores continued diplomatic momentum following recent UK engagements with other African leaders.
No detailed program has been released yet, but officials say the visit will reinforce long-standing historical, economic, and people-to-people links between the two countries.
Global Update
A Major US-Russia Nuclear Treaty Expired on February 5, Now Stalled Talks Has Plunged the World into Heightened Nuclear Risk
As the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) officially expired on February 5, 2026, the world enters a period of heightened uncertainty.
Without binding limits on the nuclear arsenals of Russia and the United States—the two largest nuclear powers, global nuclear risks have been heightened significantly.
The treaty, which capped deployed strategic warheads and delivery systems, has been a cornerstone of global arms control since 2010, but its lapse follows years of compliance disputes, geopolitical tensions, and failed extension efforts.
Current Status and Outlook
The treaty’s expiration leaves no formal constraints on the deployment of intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and heavy bombers capable of delivering nuclear warheads. In September 2025, Russian President Vladimir Putin signaled Russia’s willingness to voluntarily adhere to the treaty’s limits for one year post-expiration, provided the US reciprocates. The US responded positively but, as of early February 2026, had not issued an official reply, according to Kremlin sources.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov warned that “in a few days, the world may find itself in a more dangerous situation than before,” stressing the urgency for dialogue.
Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov attributed the crisis to longstanding issues, including US allegations of Russian non-compliance and broader geopolitical frictions stemming from the Ukraine conflict. Analysts view the outlook as precarious: without renewal, both nations could resume unconstrained nuclear buildups, potentially sparking a new arms race and undermining global stability. Efforts for compartmentalized talks—separating arms control from other disputes—have stalled, with Russia insisting on addressing NATO’s nuclear capabilities, including those of France and the UK.
Breaking Down the Treaty: Weapons and Limits
New START regulated strategic offensive arms, focusing on nuclear warheads, delivery vehicles (ballistic and cruise missiles, air-dropped bombs), and launch platforms with ranges over 5,500 km. Covered systems included:
- ICBMs: US models like Minuteman II–III and Peacekeeper; Russian variants such as Topol-family, R-36M, and RS-24 Yars.
- SLBMs: US Trident II; Russian R-29R, R-39, R-39RM, and R-30.
- Heavy bombers: Russian Tu-95MS and Tu-160; US B-52G, B-52H, B-1B, and B-2A.
Limits were set at no more than 700 deployed delivery vehicles, 1,550 deployed warheads, and 800 deployed and non-deployed launchers and bombers. Compliance was monitored through a Bilateral Consultative Commission and on-site inspections, though tactical nuclear weapons, missile defenses, and non-nuclear strategic arms (e.g., hypersonic missiles) were excluded.
Brief History of the Treaty
Signed on April 8, 2010, in Prague by Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and US President Barack Obama, New START replaced the 1991 START I and 2002 SORT treaties. It entered force in 2011 and was hailed as a key achievement in post-Cold War arms control.
By February 2018, both parties reported compliance: Russia with 527 deployed vehicles, 1,444 warheads, and 779 launchers/bombers; the US with similar figures. The treaty was extended in February 2021 by the Biden administration without amendments, set to expire on February 5, 2026.
Compliance Disputes and Alleged US Violations
Russia has accused the US of violations, claiming the US illegitimately excluded 56 Trident II SLBM launchers and 41 B-52H bombers from counts, resulting in an excess of 101 delivery vehicles. As of September 1, 2022, US data (659 deployed vehicles, 1,420 warheads, 800 launchers/bombers) was disputed by Moscow as inaccurate. On January 31, 2023, the US accused Russia of non-compliance by denying inspections and postponing consultations.
China’s Position on New START
China has repeatedly declined invitations to join, arguing its nuclear arsenal is approximately 20 times smaller than those of Russia and the US. Beijing has stated it would consider participation only if the superpowers reduce their stockpiles to China’s level.
Extension Efforts and the Crisis
The 2021 extension was straightforward, but relations deteriorated amid the Ukraine conflict. Inspections, paused during the COVID-19 pandemic, were not resumed due to US sanctions, airspace closures, and visa denials for Russian inspectors. In June 2023, the US froze nuclear data sharing with Russia. US proposals for “compartmentalized” talks—isolating arms control from Ukraine—were rejected by Russia.
In July 2025, US President Donald Trump advocated for trilateral limits with Russia and China, but progress stalled.
Russia’s Suspension and Reasons
On February 21, 2023, Putin announced Russia’s suspension (not withdrawal) of participation, citing:
- Western arms supplies to Ukraine and targeting assistance against Russian bases.
- US and NATO aims to strategically defeat Russia.
- The need to include French and UK arsenals in discussions.
- US obstacles to inspections.
- US considerations for resuming nuclear tests.
The suspension highlighted deepening mistrust, with Russia maintaining it could return if conditions improve.
The expiration of New START on February 5, 2026, without a successor risks eroding decades of arms control progress, potentially escalating global nuclear tensions. Experts urge renewed dialogue to prevent an arms race, though geopolitical divides remain a formidable barrier.
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