Africa Watch
Analyst Warns AES Collapse Fuels Arms Flow and Jihadist ‘Creep’ Into Ghana
ACCRA – The collapse of military-led states in the Sahel is fueling arms trafficking and allowing jihadist networks to creep southward toward Ghana’s northern border, according to a sobering new analysis.
The analysis authored by Joseph McCarthy, an analyst and researcher specializing in governance, security, and political transitions in the region, warns that the self-styled Alliance of Sahel States (AES), comprising Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, has failed to contain extremism despite initial promises by the juntas that seized power in Bamako (2020), Ouagadougou (2022), and Niamey (2023).
Instead, the security situation has deteriorated dramatically.
‘State Presence Is Shrinking’
McCarthy notes that large portions of northern and eastern Burkina Faso are now either under jihadist influence or violently contested. In Mali, the regions of Taoudéni, Timbuktu, Ménaka, Gao, and much of Mopti remain outside effective state authority. While Niger retains a stronger foothold around Niamey and Maradi, insecurity is steadily creeping into Diffa, Tahoua, and Agadez.
“The trajectory across all three countries is identical: state presence is shrinking; militant mobility corridors are expanding southward,” McCarthy writes.
The analyst points to coordinated attacks across Mali in April 2026, striking Mopti, Gao, Kidal, Sévaré, and approach routes to Bamako simultaneously, as confirmation that Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) and Islamic State affiliates are growing more sophisticated, more coordinated, and operationally bolder.
The Threat to Ghana
While Ghana has not yet experienced large-scale jihadist violence, McCarthy argues the country is not insulated from what is coming.
“The expansion of JNIM and IS-affiliated operations into southern Burkina Faso has intensified arms trafficking, infiltration networks, and radicalization risks along Ghana’s northern border,” he writes.
McCarthy specifically highlights the Bawku conflict, rooted in ethnic and chieftaincy tensions, as “precisely the kind of local instability that extremist organizations have exploited elsewhere to gain a foothold.”
Ghana’s Security Response
According to the analyst, Ghanaian security agencies have responded with Operation Conquered Fist, expanded border surveillance, joint intelligence operations, and counter-extremism programs.
McCarthy describes these efforts as “reflecting a growing, sober recognition that this crisis is no longer distant. It is at the door.”
Broader Regional Warning
The analyst warns that the Sahel has become a sanctuary where extremist organizations regroup, recruit, train, and launch operations southward into coastal West Africa. He notes that Benin has already suffered deadly attacks near Pendjari National Park, Côte d’Ivoire continues fortifying its northern frontier following the Grand-Bassam massacre, and Togo has seen mounting infiltration pressure.
A Lesson Learned at Enormous Cost
McCarthy draws a stark conclusion from the AES experience: no country defeats a transnational insurgency through isolationist nationalism or militarized governance alone.
“Security and development are inseparable,” he writes. “Roads, schools, healthcare, agriculture, jobs, and functioning local governance are as essential to counterterrorism as soldiers and weapons. Where states are absent, extremists fill the space.”
He urges Ghana and the wider ECOWAS community not to treat the Sahel as someone else’s problem, warning that “West Africa cannot afford to learn that lesson twice.”
Joseph McCarthy is an analyst and researcher specializing in governance, security, and political transitions in the Sahel. The views expressed in his opinion article are his own.
Africa Watch
Two Permanent Security Council Seats and a Veto: Africa Makes Bold Demand at the UN
Africa has made its boldest demand yet for reform of the United Nations Security Council: at least two permanent seats with veto powers, and five non-permanent seats for the continent.
Vice-President Kashim Shettima of Nigeria delivered the demand while presenting President Bola Tinubu’s national statement at the 81st UN General Assembly in New York, positioning Africa’s case as both a moral imperative and a necessary correction to a global governance structure built for a bygone era.
“The world of 2026 cannot remain captive to the distribution of power in 1945,” Shettima declared, drawing a sharp contrast between the Security Council’s post-World War II origins and today’s geopolitical realities.
A Longstanding Demand
Nigeria’s position is consistent with the Ezulwini Consensus and Sirte Declaration, adopted as the Common African Position. Under this framework, Africa seeks at least two permanent seats with all existing privileges, including veto power for as long as the privilege exists, alongside five non-permanent seats on the Council.
The African Union reaffirmed the demand in May, stating that Africa’s exclusion from permanent representation constituted a historical imbalance requiring correction.
Shettima argued that institutions claiming authority to act for humanity must adequately reflect the people on whose behalf decisions are taken. Africa, he noted, is home to 1.5 billion people and constitutes the largest regional voting bloc in the General Assembly—yet remains without a single permanent seat.
The 1945 Problem
The Security Council has five permanent members: China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States, each possessing veto power. This configuration has remained unchanged since the UN’s founding in 1945, apart from a single expansion of non-permanent membership from six to ten in 1965.
Africa currently has no permanent representative on the Council.
Shettima said Africa could no longer remain outside permanent membership while issues concerning the continent continued to occupy substantial attention of the Council. He linked Security Council reform to efforts to restore confidence in multilateralism amid widening geopolitical divisions.
“Differences among nations must not obscure their common humanity or responsibility to preserve peace for future generations,” he said.
Nigeria’s Peacekeeping Record
Shettima recalled Nigeria’s contributions to international and regional peace operations in Liberia, Sierra Leone, Darfur, Mali, and The Gambia. He said Nigeria also continues to work through ECOWAS, the African Union, and Gulf of Guinea mechanisms, covering mediation, counter-terrorism, democratic governance, and maritime security.
According to him, these efforts demonstrate Nigeria’s commitment to international peace and security—and its readiness to assume greater responsibility on the global stage.
A Warning Against Propaganda
The Vice-President also warned against a global environment where propaganda blurred distinctions between victims and aggressors and complicated accountability. He maintained that an inclusive and effective UN remained indispensable to global peace and sustainable development.
Shettima reaffirmed Nigeria’s commitment to the UN Charter and international cooperation, saying Nigeria supported an international system where diplomacy takes precedence over coercion and international law guides relations among states.
He identified the conflict in Sudan and other theatres as requiring urgent diplomacy because of their humanitarian, economic, and geopolitical consequences.
The Road Ahead
Nigeria’s demand comes amid renewed calls by African leaders for reforms to an institution whose permanent membership remains unchanged since its creation. The African Union’s preferred reform model provides for at least two permanent African seats, including veto privileges while existing members retain them, and five non-permanent seats.
Whether the five permanent members, particularly China, Russia, and the United States, will support a reform that dilutes their power remains uncertain. Previous reform efforts have stalled for decades.
But Shettima made clear that Africa’s patience is wearing thin. The continent, he said, remains committed to a multilateral order capable of responding more credibly to 21st-century realities.
“The world of 2026 cannot remain captive to the distribution of power in 1945,” he repeated, leaving little doubt that Africa intends to keep pressing until its voice is heard, and its seat secured.
Africa Watch
Return to Wakanda: Is Afrobeats Set for Another Marvel Triumph?
The fictional kingdom of Wakanda may be thousands of miles away from Lagos, Accra, and Johannesburg, but its soundscape remains deeply tied to the rhythms of the African continent.
Reports circulating across social media and film databases suggest that Nigerian megastar Burna Boy could be making a high-profile return to the Black Panther franchise.
According to credit listings briefly spotted on IMDb, the Grammy-winning “African Giant” is featured among the music contributors for Marvel Studios’ anticipated next chapter in the Wakandan saga.
The listed lineup also features Nigerian singer CKay, South African pop phenom Tyla, and American hip-hop icon Kendrick Lamar, who curated the record-breaking original Black Panther album in 2018.
For fans across the continent, the news has sparked immediate celebration. The Black Panther franchise has consistently served as a global megaphone for modern African culture.
When Wakanda Forever debuted, Burna Boy’s haunting track “Alone” stood out as one of the emotional pillars of the film’s soundtrack.
Rejoining the lineup alongside hitmakers like CKay and Tyla signals a continued commitment by film directors and music supervisors to keep contemporary African sounds at the heart of Hollywood’s biggest blockbuster universe.
However, music enthusiasts and industry insiders know that online database entries carry a major caveat.
IMDb listings are frequently crowdsourced or updated ahead of formal production stages, meaning unconfirmed cast and crew additions can circulate long before studio executives step in. Marvel Studios has maintained its trademark secrecy, offering no official tracklist or artist confirmations.
Whether the current roster proves accurate or undergoes shifts before release, the mere prospect highlights Afrobeats’ firmly established footprint in global pop culture.
Until Marvel officially drops the needle, fans will be keeping a close watch—and hoping the African Giant lands back in Wakanda.
Africa Watch
British-Nigerian Influencer Dies After Penis Enlargement Procedure in Thailand
A British-Nigerian businessman and social media influencer died from a pulmonary embolism after undergoing a penis enlargement procedure in Thailand, a UK coroner’s inquest has heard.
Igho “Tiny” Ubiribo, also known as “Ego”, was 43 when he died in Bangkok following complications from the cosmetic procedure during a trip to Thailand with his wife.
Evidence presented at the inquest said Ubiribo had 40ml of hyaluronic acid and lidocaine injected into his penis at an unnamed clinic in March.
Shortly after the procedure, he developed chest pain and collapsed twice at his hotel.
He was taken to Sukhumvit Hospital, where doctors suspected a pulmonary embolism — a potentially fatal blockage of a blood vessel supplying the lungs.
His condition deteriorated despite emergency treatment, with medical staff reportedly performing CPR for more than 100 minutes.
Ubiribo died in the early hours of March 6.
His body was subsequently repatriated to the UK for further examination. A post-mortem reportedly detected cellular filler material in his lungs consistent with hyaluronic acid, the substance used during the cosmetic procedure.
Evidence presented to the inquest indicated that the material found in his lungs matched the filler administered during the treatment.
The coroner concluded that the cosmetic procedure had caused the fatal pulmonary embolism.
The case highlights the potentially serious complications associated with injectable cosmetic procedures, particularly when performed outside a patient’s home country. Pulmonary embolisms can occur when material enters the bloodstream and travels to the lungs, where it can obstruct blood flow and become life-threatening.
Ubiribo’s death has also drawn attention to the risks surrounding cosmetic procedures undertaken abroad, where patients may face unfamiliar medical standards, follow-up arrangements and emergency care systems.
The circumstances of his death were examined during the UK inquest as authorities sought to establish how the procedure ultimately led to the fatal complication.
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