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How Ghana is Working to Cushion the Blow of a Global Fuel Crisis as Prices Head for GH¢17

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As geopolitical shockwaves from the escalating conflict between U.S. and Israel on one hand and Iran on the other rattle global energy markets, Ghana is confronting a stark reality: the price of fuel could soon surge to an unprecedented GH¢17 per liter.

From February 16, a liter of fuel has been selling at GH¢11.97 at the pumps.

The stark GH¢17-per-liter warning comes from the CEO of the Chamber of Oil Marketing Companies (COMAC), Dr. Riverson Oppong, who paints a worrying picture of the economic contagion spreading from the Middle East.

In an interview with Joy Business, he stated that if the crisis does not de-escalate rapidly, global crude oil prices could rocket to between $110 and $120 per barrel, with direct and severe consequences for fuel-importing nations like Ghana.

“If by Wednesday things have not come down…we are going to hit around 110 to 120 [dollars per barrel],” Dr. Oppong cautioned. “If you are picking the trading price… for the oil marketing companies… we should hit above 15 cedis, between 15 to 17 cedis.”

This potential price spike is not a local anomaly but a symptom of a global energy shock. The conflict has heightened fears of disruptions at strategic chokepoints like the Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of the world’s oil passes. Dr. Oppong noted that the impact is already being felt internationally, with the United Kingdom, for instance, recording some of its highest-ever pump prices.

“This is a global issue,” he stated. “Ghana did not play any role in this particular fight or war. But we are here as a net importer of energy, and therefore we must suffer the consequences.”

A Multi-Pronged Strategy to Shield Ghanaians

Faced with this external shock, the Ghanaian government and regulatory bodies are mobilizing a coordinated response to cushion the economy and protect consumers from the full force of the price surge. The strategy focuses on immediate relief, market stabilization, and long-term resilience.

1. Immediate Fiscal Interventions: Discussions are actively underway between the National Petroleum Authority (NPA) and industry players like COMAC to review the pump price structure. A key proposal on the table is the suspension or removal of the GH¢1 fuel levy, a move that would provide instant, albeit partial, relief to consumers by reducing the tax burden on every liter sold.

2. Protecting the Currency: The Bank of Ghana is playing a critical role in this defense. As international oil prices are dollar-denominated, a stable cedi is the first line of defense against imported inflation. By working to minimize exchange rate volatility, the central bank aims to prevent the local cost of fuel from spiraling even higher than the global crude price increases would dictate.

3. Market Regulation and Stability: In a proactive step to manage the turbulent market, the NPA has introduced a price floor for petroleum products. This measure is designed to prevent predatory pricing and ensure a degree of market order during a period of high volatility and uncertainty, protecting both consumers and smaller marketers from erratic swings.

The Long View: Reviving TOR for Energy Independence

While immediate measures focus on managing the crisis, the situation has reignited a crucial national conversation about Ghana’s long-term energy vulnerability. The country’s heavy reliance on imported, refined petroleum products leaves it dangerously exposed to international shocks.

Against this backdrop, calls are growing louder for the strategic revitalization of the Tema Oil Refinery (TOR) . Increasing domestic processing capacity is seen as the most effective path to reducing dependency on volatile global markets for refined products. A functioning TOR would allow Ghana to import cheaper crude oil and refine it locally, insulating the economy from some of the price volatility inherent in the global refined fuel trade.

An Economy on Edge

The stakes could not be higher. Fuel is the lifeblood of the Ghanaian economy; a surge to GH¢17 per liter would send ripple effects through every sector. Transportation fares would inevitably rise, food prices would increase, and manufacturing and logistics costs would climb, putting immense pressure on households and businesses. Such an outcome would also severely complicate the Bank of Ghana’s efforts to tame inflation and maintain the fragile macroeconomic stability achieved in recent months.

For now, Ghana is in a holding pattern, its economy bracing for impact. The coming days will be critical. As Dr. Oppong urged, this is not a time for political point-scoring, but for coordinated policy action. The trajectory of fuel prices in Ghana now depends less on local factors and almost entirely on the unpredictable winds of war blowing through the Middle East.

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The Top Global Markets Paying for Ghanaian Goods: Netherlands Leads at $831 Million

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Non-traditional exports are finding strong demand in Europe, Asia, and across the continent, with Burkina Faso emerging as a $532 million market and intra-African trade now accounting for over 30% of export earnings.


Ghanaian exporters looking for buyers have clear targets to focus their efforts, according to new trade data showing the Netherlands, Burkina Faso, the United Kingdom, France, India, Vietnam, and Togo as the top-paying markets for Ghanaian goods.

The Netherlands leads all destinations, with Ghana selling over $831 million worth of goods to the European nation. The United Kingdom follows at approximately $253 million, while France imported about $231 million in Ghanaian products.

But the most striking growth is occurring closer to home. In 2025, Ghana’s exports within Africa hit $1.5 billion, representing over 30% of total non-traditional export earnings.

This intra-African trade surge is being driven by frameworks including the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) and ECOWAS, which have lowered barriers and streamlined cross-border commerce.

Asian Demand on the Rise

Ghanaian exporters are also finding lucrative markets in Asia. India imported approximately $218 million worth of Ghanaian goods, while Vietnam purchased about $153 million. China, the world’s second-largest economy, took in roughly $71.9 million in exports from Ghana, a figure that industry analysts say has significant growth potential given the size of the Chinese market.

West African Neighbors as Key Destinations

Within West Africa, Ghana’s neighbors are proving to be major buyers. Burkina Faso imported over $532 million worth of Ghanaian goods, making it the second-largest destination for Ghanaian exports after the Netherlands. Togo followed at approximately $232 million.

These figures capture the importance of regional trade integration. Unlike exports to Europe or Asia, which often require shipping and longer logistics chains, trade with Burkina Faso and Togo can move overland, reducing costs and transit times for perishable or time-sensitive goods.

What This Means for Exporters

For Ghanaian businesses seeking buyers for their products, the data provides a clear roadmap:

MarketExport Value (Approx.)
Netherlands$831 million
Burkina Faso$532 million
United Kingdom$253 million
Togo$232 million
France$231 million
India$218 million
Vietnam$153 million
China$71.9 million

Industry analysts advise exporters to focus their market research on these destinations rather than pursuing untested or low-demand markets.

The data suggests that Ghanaian products, whether agricultural commodities, processed goods, or manufactured items, already have established buyers and supply chains in these countries.

The AfCFTA Effect

The $1.5 billion in intra-African exports represents a significant milestone for Ghana’s trade diversification strategy.

The African Continental Free Trade Area, which became operational in 2021, aims to create a single continental market for goods and services. Ghana’s growing exports to Burkina Faso, Togo, and other African nations suggest that the agreement is beginning to deliver tangible results.

For Ghanaian exporters, the message is clear: the Netherlands remains the top-paying European destination, but Burkina Faso and Togo offer massive opportunities closer to home. And with Asian markets like India and Vietnam showing strong demand, diversification across continents is not just possible, it is already happening.

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Jet Fuel Crunch Fears Ease for Ghana, But Global Supply Questions Remain

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State-owned GOIL PLC assures stakeholders of adequate reserves and strengthened supply chains, yet broader concerns over refining capacity and geopolitical instability continue to shadow international aviation.


Fears of a jet fuel shortage disrupting flight operations in Ghana have been officially dismissed by the Managing Director of GOIL PLC, Edward Bawa, who confirmed that the state-backed oil marketing company has sufficient stocks to meet current and future demand.

The assurance has eased concerns among domestic and international carriers operating out of Kotoka International Airport, but persistent questions over global fuel supply stability remain unresolved.

Speaking to Joy Business on the sidelines of GOIL’s Safety Week celebration, Mr. Bawa stated emphatically:

“We have enough aviation fuel to meet the demands of our players.”

He attributed the company’s confidence to a strengthened supply chain and the building of adequate reserves to ensure uninterrupted distribution of aviation fuel across the country.

Local Reassurance, Global Uncertainty

While Ghana appears to have secured its immediate aviation fuel needs, the broader global landscape tells a different story.

Jet fuel prices and availability remain highly sensitive to refining capacity constraints, sanctions on major energy producers, and ongoing geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East.

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has repeatedly warned that jet fuel supply volatility remains one of the top three operational risks for airlines worldwide. Unlike Ghana, several developing nations have experienced periodic fuel shortages in recent years, leading to flight cancellations, emergency diversions, and financial losses for carriers.

Mr. Bawa’s comments did not address global market dynamics, but his emphasis on GOIL’s internal reserves and logistical reliability offers a case study in how emerging economies can insulate their aviation sectors from external shocks through strategic stockpiling and supply chain diversification.

GOIL’s Strategic Positioning

According to Mr. Bawa, GOIL has focused on reliability and efficiency in the delivery of petroleum products, particularly to critical sectors such as aviation.

The company’s Safety Week initiative, he noted, underscores a broader commitment to protecting lives, assets, and the environment — a message intended to reassure both local stakeholders and international partners.

For airlines operating into West Africa, Ghana’s ability to guarantee fuel supply is a competitive advantage. Kotoka International Airport has been positioning itself as a regional hub, challenging established centers like Addis Ababa, Nairobi, and Lagos. Reliable jet fuel availability is a non-negotiable prerequisite for attracting and retaining international carriers.

Global Supply Questions Remain

Despite Ghana’s local success, the global aviation industry continues to grapple with unresolved supply questions:

  • Refining capacity: Global refinery closures during the COVID-19 pandemic have not been fully reversed, creating a supply-demand imbalance.
  • Geopolitical risks: Sanctions on Russian refined products and tensions in the Middle East keep markets on edge.
  • Transition pressures: As the industry moves toward sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs), the transition period introduces additional price and availability uncertainty.

IATA has forecast that jet fuel demand will continue to outpace supply through at least 2027, keeping pressure on airlines’ operating costs and potentially dampening post-pandemic recovery in price-sensitive markets.

What This Means for International Carriers

For now, carriers flying to and from Accra can operate with confidence that fuel will be available. GOIL’s assurance — backed by stated reserves and supply chain investments — removes one variable from the complex calculus of route planning and operational risk management.

However, the same cannot be said for all destinations. Airlines continue to monitor fuel security on a country-by-country basis, with some routes deemed higher risk than others. Ghana’s proactive communication may well enhance its reputation as a reliable refueling point for long-haul carriers.

Looking Ahead

Mr. Bawa’s reaffirmation of GOIL’s commitment to safety and supply stability is a positive signal for Ghana’s aviation sector.

But the broader question — whether the global jet fuel market can stabilize in the face of ongoing structural pressures — remains unanswered.

For now, Ghana has done what it can to protect its corner of the sky. The rest of the world is still waiting for clarity.

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Government of Ghana Issues Formal Call for Investors to Establish Airline by First Quarter 2027

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Strategic partner to hold majority stake in commercially driven national carrier, with government taking minority carried interest; global interest already confirmed.


Ghana’s Ministry of Transport has formally launched a search for strategic investors to establish a new national airline, setting an ambitious timeline that could see the carrier fully operational by the first quarter of 2027.

In a Request for Expression of Interest issued this week, the government announced it is seeking qualified airline partners or consortia with the technical, financial, and operational capacity to develop a commercially viable, internationally competitive carrier based in Accra. The move signals renewed government commitment to restoring a flag carrier capable of enhancing connectivity, supporting tourism, and facilitating trade.

Key Requirement: Aircraft Deployment by Q1 2027

A key requirement of the process is the ability of prospective partners to “acquire, supply and deploy” aircraft and operational equipment within defined timelines, with initial fleet deployment expected no later than the first quarter of 2027. The plan also must include medium- and long-term fleet expansion aligned with network growth, ensuring the airline can scale sustainably as demand increases.

Dual-Model Strategy: Full-Service Long-Haul Meets Low-Cost Regional

The proposed airline is expected to operate a dual-model approach, combining full-service long-haul operations to destinations in Europe, North America, the Middle East, and Asia, alongside regional services structured around a hybrid or low-cost model to boost intra-African connectivity. This twin-track strategy is designed to capture both premium international travelers and price-sensitive regional passengers.

In addition to passenger operations, the government is seeking partners capable of developing an integrated cargo business to support trade and logistics, positioning Accra as a regional aviation hub. The cargo component is seen as critical to the airline’s long-term commercial viability and Ghana’s ambitions to become a West African logistics gateway.

Majority Stake for Private Partner, Government Carried Interest

Under the proposed structure, the selected strategic investor will hold a majority equity stake in the new airline, reflecting a shift from previous state-led models toward a commercially driven partnership framework.

In this new enterprise, the strategic partner is expected to hold the majority of the shares, with the Government of Ghana initially holding a 10 percent carried interest and the option to purchase an additional 15 percent of the shares at a later stage.

Global Interest Already Confirmed

AviationGhana reports that there is already interest from a North American airline, a European carrier, an African airline, and other major carriers based in the Gulf region.

The participation of established international airlines would bring valuable technical expertise, established networks, and operational credibility to the project.

Selection Process and Deadline

The selection process will involve multiple engagement rounds, culminating in the selection of a preferred partner.

Interested parties have until May 29, 2026, to submit initial proposals.

The government has indicated that transparency and due diligence will be paramount throughout the evaluation process.

Learning from Past Attempts

Ghana has made several attempts to re-establish a national carrier following the collapse of Ghana Airways and later Ghana International Airlines. Those earlier ventures faced challenges including intense regional competition, financial mismanagement, and the broader impact of global industry disruptions. The latest initiative, with its emphasis on private-sector leadership and commercial discipline, represents a deliberate departure from previous state-dominated models.

Economic and Regional Implications

If successfully executed within the stated timelines, the project could mark a significant milestone in Ghana’s aviation sector development and regional positioning.

For the Ghanaian economy, a successful national airline would create jobs, support tourism, facilitate exports through cargo capacity, and strengthen Accra’s standing as a preferred West African hub alongside competitors such as Addis Ababa, Nairobi, and Lagos.

The government’s plan for a new national airline aims to revitalize an industry that has faced headwinds in recent years, including intensified competition from neighboring countries and the lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. With the formal call for investors now issued, attention turns to which global players will submit bids before the May 29 deadline.

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